current issues in the middle east 2020
In the short term, there’s an immediate problem to resolve: can Britain strike a trade deal with Europe before the end of the transitional period on 31 December 2020? You also agree to our Terms of Service. Get the latest BBC News from the Middle East: breaking news, features, analysis and debate plus audio and video coverage from across the Middle East. In 2020, US political institutions will be tested as never before, and … Of course, the custom of whitewashing Israeli apartheid and lethal brutality vis-a-vis Palestinians is nothing new. Meanwhile, pressures are mounting on the union. The Washington Post, Jan. 10, 2020. There is no doubt about it, even to the liberal globalists of the Financial Times, that the western world, long advanced as the example the rest of the world should follow, is in a profound political crisis. ... Get updates on human rights issues from around the globe. The London administration was quite ineffective, in part, due to the contradictory promises which were made to the Arabs, to the Zionists and to France, the other colonial power which divided … This is happening in the street, but also within Congress, where a number of legislators have signed on to a resolution affirming the right to boycott. On these three fronts, the crown prince proved successful only in undermining the kingdom’s credibility, and tarnishing its reputation beyond repair. The Middle East and Central Asia (MCD) region has reacted to the global COVID-19 pandemic with swift and stringent measures that have saved lives. We rely on readers like you to uphold a free press. From Representative Betty McCollum’s bill prohibiting the use of US aid money for the military detention of Palestinian children, to presidential candidate Bernie Sanders stating that some of the money given to Israel should be redirected to Gaza, to Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez suggesting that the US cut off all aid to Israel, a discussion of holding Israel accountable has entered the national discourse at the highest level. What started in October as a relatively small demonstration of young men, mostly unemployed or underemployed, quickly became a mass movement demanding the fall of the regime. The other is the resurgent, racist right and far-right. Possibly the most significant BDS victory of the year is the fact that US politicians are broaching the topic of conditioning aid to Israel - that is, discussing sanctions. April 28, 2020. Israel exploited western passivity to entrench and expand the occupation, and to intensify racist legislation inside Israel. So in 2020, Israeli citizens will be forced once again to choose between two war criminals - and as far as Palestinians are concerned, the differences between the two are mainly semantic: one engages openly in wild incitement against them; while the other is prepared to sit with them at the table to discuss nothing more than crumbs of civil rights stripped of any collective or comprehensive dimension. Pages: 1-206. The New York Times, Jan. 5, 2020. International efforts to check the proliferation of weapons will slow, not stop, their spread. This means that he will limp into the November election as a wounded candidate. But the success of the protest movement relies on its ability to develop a cohesive agenda for the future, and to turn street mobilisation into an organised political force. The popular mood in Arab, American and Iranian streets will be one of the key, unpredictable, wild variables. It remains to be seen whether, and how, the protests will be able to alter the balances in the region - and, in particular, Iranian influence. That so many Jews and gentiles today across the world, especially within the BDS movement and movements such as Jewish Voice for Peace, insist that Jews should not be defined as Zionists, let alone as colonists, has effectively challenged the new antisemitic strategy of implicating all Jews in Israel’s colonial policies. Middle East The region known as the Middle East has been conquered and reconquered by every super power in the West. In 2020, Israeli citizens will be forced once again to choose between two war criminals - and as far as Palestinians are concerned, the differences between the two are mainly semantic. Some regard this move as lunacy. Dadouch, Sara. So, while we certainly still have major battles ahead, our solid record shows we will be victorious. The terror group has been launching increasingly bold attacks in … Middle East Israel-Iran conflict to be major Middle East issue in 2020 Neither Iran or Israel may seek war. And three Middle Eastern countries—Iraq, the UAE, and Iran—are also among the largest suppliers. Possibly the most significant BDS victory of the year was US politicians broaching the topic of conditioning aid to Israel - that is, discussing sanctions. To some extent, both mainstream Republican and Democratic parties remain subscribers to endless wars, adding further confusion to an already complex picture. This week, while all eyes have been on the Democratic National Convention taking place via Zoom, truly historic events have occurred in the Middle East: a long-awaited peace deal between They can point to their love of Israel, emulating its brand of Jewish nationalism, as they whip up a wave of white nationalist, anti-immigrant fervour at home. For Saudi Arabia, the coming year does not look bright, as the entrenched repression and regional adventures appear destined to continue. Wars (1,000–9,999 combat-related deaths in current or past year) The 14 conflicts in the following list have caused at least 1,000 and fewer than 10,000 direct, violent deaths in a current or past calendar year. https://study.com/academy/lesson/contemporary-issues-in-the-middle-east.html That means exiting the EU on World Trade Organisation terms. Jews have fought since the 19th century against antisemitism, which targeted them as a group, and have refused to accept the antisemitic claims that they are a race. Apart from whatever government Israel may end up with, 2020 symbolises the ultimate shattering of the illusion of an alternative to the Jewish Israeli stance of superiority that has been the essence of Jewish Israeli politics across the entire political spectrum. The domestic scene has been punctuated by the contradiction of reform and repression. Others see it as a magnificent assertion of British national independence. Another core question: will the pressure to strike independent trade deals following Brexit cause Prime Minister Boris Johnson to mute criticism of immoral foreign leaders, such as Narendra Modi in India and Xi Jinping in China, as they pursue genocidal policies against their Muslim populations? Voters in England and Wales have just handed the most unstable prime minister in postwar history the biggest mandate since Margaret Thatcher. Trump has been weakened by his impeachment in the House of Representatives, but it appears unlikely the Senate will convict him and remove him from office. The year 2019 will be remembered for the largest and most enduring anti-government protests in Iraq’s modern history. €5 every 4 weeks or just €50 €20 for the first year, €7 every 4 weeks or just €70 €30 for the first year. Nevertheless, he will retain much of his Republican support and still be formidable. See all volumes and issues Volume 12, 2020 Vol 11, 2019 Vol 10, 2018 Vol 9, 2017 Vol 8, 2016 Vol 7, 2015 Vol 6, 2014 Vol 5, 2013 Vol 4, 2012 Vol 3, 2011 Vol 2, 2010 Vol 1, 2009 Login or register to access this feature In 2020, the street protests, more than those in power, could affect events in the Middle East. Briefing Note / Middle East & North Africa 11 December 2020 Crisis Group Libya Update #1 This Briefing Note provides up-to-the-minute analysis of attempts to end Libya’s almost decade-long civil war through talks focused on reunifying the country’s government, oil-based economy and security forces. With several countries in the region beginning reopening in past weeks, and a recent uptick in activity, rising infection numbers may pose risks. If success is measured by achievements, Saudi Arabia under the leadership of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman sunk deeper into trouble on many fronts over the past year. It doesn’t promise to bring much in the way of change, regardless of who wins. The Gaza Strip, for example, is no stranger to Israeli-induced casualty counts in the thousands. Times Insider Three News Hubs, 24-Hour Coverage: The Times’s Global Relay. The years 1914, 1945 and 1979 were three turning points in British history. The left could have jumped at this chance to offer voters a real political alternative to occupation and apartheid. Overall, we enter a new decade with record temperatures, strong winds and bush fires raging throughout the region. The more placatory stance of the Joint List's chairman, Ayman Odeh, could have been a good point of departure to at least consider the possibility of a leftist government supported externally by Arab parties (guaranteeing support in the event of a vote of no confidence). Gulf Arab leaders sign declaration with Qatar to ease rift. The civil war in Libya could easily descend into house-to-house fighting in Tripoli, unless both Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Russian President Vladimir Putin come to an Astana-like deal. By clicking “I agree” below, you consent to the use by us and our third-party partners of cookies and data gathered from your use of our platforms. © Middle East Eye 2021 - all rights reserved. Political … During the last year, and with the rising tide of the global movement opposing Israeli racist and colonial policies towards Palestinians, Israel and its western allies have sought to criminalise all opposition to Israeli colonialism as nothing but "antisemitism". This marks a sea change among normally obeisant Democratic candidates who refuse to rock the boat on Israel. If only the year 2020 would enable people to see Israel for the criminal enterprise that it is, that would be a “game changer” indeed. The Middle East’s Challenges Aren’t Just Combatting the Virus. Firstly, there is the presidential election campaign in the United States, where the US role in the Middle East could be debated between Trump, who aspires to limit it, and Washington’s foreign policy and defence establishment, which remains inclined to persevere with endless wars in the region. No time soon. This content is currently not available in your region. In 2020, the street protests, more than those in power, could affect events in the Middle East. Leading Democratic contender Joe Biden has not been known to stake out a clear policy towards the region. Will common sense break out, before vast tracts of the Middle East look like Syria? Middle East Institute, Nov. 22, 2019. Israel’s will be in early February, and the third such election in the past 12 months, an unprecedented political stalemate. Thus, the role of international actors clearly becomes even more crucial for leveraging the kind of change that Israeli citizens themselves cannot and will not bring about. In the months since our last Economy Watch in June, the Middle East region is on the path to economic recovery as lockdowns have eased and activity has begun to recover. It’s also the birthplace of three major religions—Judaism, Christianity, and Islam. The next steps taken by the elite, beginning with the selection of a new prime minister, will determine the trajectory of events in 2020. This and US President Donald Trump’s re-election will continue to have profound impacts on the Middle East. In such an established geopolitical framework, three additional elements should be considered. terrorisation-by-constant-buzzing-drone-presence, UK Labour Party recruited ex-Israeli intelligence official for social media role, Thousands mark first death anniversary of Qassem Soleimani, Middle East cinema: These are the region's top films of 2019. The first one is attempting the reaffirmation of Pax Americana, the second one openly challenging it. Libya’s civil war has taken a … Will a British desire to cultivate relationships with the Gulf states and Israel cause her to overlook the brutality of Arab regimes and the degradation of Palestinian rights? These moves have recently been replicated elsewhere in France and Germany. And if the Israeli military’s murderous response to Palestinians’ ongoing Great March of Return is any indication, it seems 2020 will be yet another year of more-than-migraines for Israel’s perennial victims. Stay on top of Middle East latest developments on the ground with Al Jazeera’s fact-based news, exclusive video footage, photos and updated maps. Military action in the Gulf is unpredictable, and Trump fancies his chances of turning impeachment into an electoral asset and getting re-elected. Volume 27, Issue 2 ... Spring 2020. The new European data protection law requires us to inform you of the following before you use our website: We use cookies and other technologies to customize your experience, perform analytics and deliver personalized advertising on our sites, apps and newsletters and across the Internet based on your interests. Conflicts causing at least 1,000 deaths in one calendar year are considered wars by … The second was a new executive order issued by US President Donald Trump that embraced a controversial new definition of antisemitism. The risk of further conflagration is a major reason why the United States must remain engaged even as geopolitics and growth potential argue for a greater focus on Asia, Africa, and the Western Hemisphere. Only England And Wales jurisdiction apply in all legal matters. Escalation might also have effects on energy markets … ROME, Sep 25 (IPS) - The creation of a Palestinian State remains a pipe-dreamAfter the fall of the Ottoman Empire at the end of WWI, The League of Nations mandated that Britain administer Palestine. If only the year 2020 would enable people to see Israel for the criminal enterprise that it is, that would be a 'game changer' indeed. See our Privacy Policy and Third Party Partners to learn more about the use of data and your rights. Most of the principal motives for acquiring nuclear or other advanced weapons will persist even after changes of regime. Most recent (RSS) ... Issues 2020 - Volume 27, Middle East Policy. (Illustration by Mohamad Elaasar), 2010-2019: The Middle East's decade of revolution. © Middle East Eye 2021 - all rights reserved. The virus of rightwing white nationalism has spread throughout Europe and the US. In 2020, the key trends for the Middle East will continue to be conditioned by the long-running clash between the so-called Arab Nato, consisting of the United States, Israel, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, and the so-called Axis of Resistance, composed of Iran, Syria, Hezbollah and pro-Iranian militias in Iraq and Yemen. There are more such curbs on the horizon. The unpredictability of western actions in the region, as well as the profound absence of a coherent policy, will affect regional actors such as Turkey, Iran and Israel. The views expressed in this article belong to the authors and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye. The crown prince has let down his own people, regional powers and the international community. Secondly, there are the ongoing protests in several Arab capitals, mainly, but not only, Beirut and Baghdad. This would of course be contingent on substantive policy changes regarding Palestinian citizens of Israel and the oppressive occupation of the West Bank, Gaza and East Jerusalem. Both the US and Israel face momentous elections in the coming year. As we all know, the number 2020 is associated with perfect vision. The year ended with two terrible setbacks for those seeking justice for the Palestinian people. The government and its allied paramilitaries responded with disproportional violence, killing more than 400 protesters so far and injuring thousands. Johnson and his Brexiteer government assert that Britain will become an independent nation standing up for free trade and moral decency. The US election in November promises to be much more pivotal, as it marks an opportunity to unseat Donald Trump, who has brought volatility and uncertainty to relations with the Middle East: from the precipitous withdrawal from Syria at the instigation of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, to the near-attack on Iran for downing a US drone (avoided at the last minute if Trump is to be believed), to a wholesale sellout of Palestinians in favour of Israel regarding the much-vaunted "deal of the century". That said, the region is so unstable, it would not take much to trigger a third Gulf war. Meanwhile, the threat of global recession looms. What about the Middle East? Alert; RSS Feeds. Current Leader: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei / President Hassan Rouhani. Experts believe Britain can’t do this. Fall 2020. The Gulf is on a hair-trigger, but my betting is still against war on Iran in 2020. Gibbons-Neff, Thomas and Eric Schmitt. Though there will be little chance for improvement regarding Israel-Palestine, a Democratic president could ease tensions with Iran considerably. The Middle East, a region mostly in Asia, is the site of some of the world’s oldest civilizations. In 2020, we will start to learn the truth of those claims. These factions have parasitically channelled state resources to their patronage networks and militias, and their survival depends on perpetuating the system of power apportionment that distributes these resources among them, while diffusing responsibility for the government’s failures and dysfunctionality. He is the first Democrat in decades to threaten to withhold US aid to Israel. jmaham. 2020 outlook: Where is the Middle East heading? Please enable cookies on your web browser in order to continue. One faction includes western centrist parties that were supposed to have overseen a quarter of a century of peacemaking in the Middle East. View the latest Middle East news from Israel, Iran, Iraq, Syria and other Middle Eastern countries on CNN.com. This month alone, the US and British governments have taken measures in that direction, while France, Germany, and the EU have done so over the last year. The Middle East Journal is the oldest peer-reviewed publication dedicated solely to the study of the Middle East. One was the defeat in the British election of Jeremy Corbyn - a European leader with a unique record of solidarity with Palestinians. Russia, China and Turkey will be the spoilers. The year 2019 saw many BDS victories around the world, from South Africa downgrading its relations with Israel, to major international companies withdrawing from bidding for the construction of Israel’s illegal settlement railways, to tens of thousands of tourists heeding the call to boycott Eurovision in Tel Aviv, resulting in an attendance of only 10 percent of the expected number. It is difficult to imagine a smooth process by which ruling factions would make the right decisions, bridging the trust gap with the public. Will Scotland and Northern Ireland seek to break away from Britain in the same way that Britain has departed the EU? What does it take to be an Arab feminist in 2019. The kingdom said it had imposed a moratorium on capital punishment for drug-related offenses that led to an 85% reduction in executions, as it seeks to … Jan. 1, 2020 at 11:00 a.m. UTC It doesn’t take a crystal ball to see that 2020 will be tumultuous in the Middle East. Regionally, Saudi oil fields suffered two attacks that crippled production, and an aborted reconciliation with Gulf neighbour Qatar stumbled before it even started. The recent legal measures across Europe and the US to implicate all Jews in Israeli crimes are the clearest evidence of the failure of the IHRA strategy to be effective on its own without legal repression. Tools. But every attempt to delegitimise BDS has been legally challenged, and defeated, by civil rights and Palestine advocacy organisations such as the American Civil Liberties Union, Palestine Legal and the Center for Constitutional Rights. Will a British desire to cultivate the Gulf States and Israel cause her to overlook the brutality of the Arab regimes and the degradation of Palestinian rights? Watch out for the rise of the neo-fascist League in Italy in 2020, and the strong possibility it could form a government. For years, proponents of the Zionist state (along with potentially unwitting collaborators) have marketed Israel as an oasis of technology, modernity, civilisation and all that good stuff - and never mind the fact that it regularly massacres Arabs and otherwise deprives them of rights. Two political constituencies are behind these laws and resolutions - and neither is concerned about protecting Jews. Thu 30 Jan 2020 08.04 EST 15.00 EST Iraqi soldiers hold up a captured Isis flag at a village near Mosul in 2016. By clicking “I agree” below, you consent to the use by us and our third-party partners of cookies and data gathered from your use of our platforms. Only England And Wales jurisdiction apply in all legal matters. See our, Read a limited number of articles each month, You consent to the use of cookies and tracking by us and third parties to provide you with personalized ads, Unlimited access to washingtonpost.com on any device, Unlimited access to all Washington Post apps, No on-site advertising or third-party ad tracking. Oil dependence brings with it exposure to the region’s political volatility. The U.S. military launched a drone strike at the Baghdad airport. MEE writers give their take on some of the themes likely to dominate the region in the year ahead, Will common sense break out in 2020, or will more of the Middle East follow the path of Syria? As for their respective policies towards the occupied territories, differences between left and right are even harder to find. Not only did their limited, Israel-centric version of peace fail, but it achieved the opposite of its proclaimed goal. Well, we survived 2019 - just - but what beckons for the new year and the new decade cannot but make us hunker down even deeper in our bunkers. The decision of the International Criminal Court in the Hague to investigate war crimes committed by Israel could be an important step in that direction. The next step toward an all-out war in the Middle East happened late Thursday. From New York to Hong Kong/Seoul to London, journalists can collaborate around the clock to report on a breaking story. Trump tried to reinvent Middle East policy, but the region is still a bottomless pit of woes Analysis by Senior International Correspondent Ben Wedeman Updated 12:02 AM ET, Thu October 29, 2020 The political elite is facing unprecedented scrutiny by the Iraqi public, and its expected failure to implement major reforms could further energise the protest movement. But not only was the Israeli left, insofar as it exists at all, unable to present a real alternative to the status quo, the man heading the opposition to the rightist bloc, Benny Gantz, did not even sit down with the Joint List representatives for an authentic, candid discussion of some sort of cooperation. In the US, and even though the expression comes from a different context, it feels extremely appropriate to say of BDS activism: “They tried to bury us; they didn’t know we were seeds.” Indeed, the multi-pronged campaign to criminalise the movement seems only to have increased its popularity. In an end-of-year article headlined “Israeli migraine-busting device saluted as 2020 ‘game changer’”, the Times of Israel enthused: “After its product was selected earlier this year as one of Time magazine’s 100 best inventions for 2019, Israeli startup Theranica, the developer of a medical device for the treatment of acute migraine, has been chosen by New York data company CB Insights as one of next year’s 36 startup ‘game changers’.” According to the New York firm, Netanya-based Theranica is one of an exclusive group of “high-momentum companies pioneering new ways to solve big problems” in 2020. Forget "game-changing" solutions to the phenomenon of migraines - Israel is perpetually behind the proliferation of all manner of "big problems" on Palestinian land, from slaughter and mutilation, to trauma, to terrorisation-by-constant-buzzing-drone-presence (an extraordinary sort of headache in its own right). The military balance has recently swung in General Khalifa Haftar’s favour with the arrival of hundreds of Russian mercenaries. "America looks different if you grew up, as I did, in Africa and the Middle East". However, these policies have also had a large impact on domestic economic activity. The new IHRA definition might be construed as an attempt to make all Jews worldwide responsible for Israeli and Zionist colonial crimes against the Palestinian people, and in so doing, to make it impossible for anyone to oppose these crimes under threat of being charged with antisemitism. The region is so unstable, it would not take much to trigger a third Gulf war. The Bible asserts that Egypt suffered 10 plagues during the Exodus … The talks themselves, however, are in their infancy, and both Bahrain and the UAE are against any change to the status quo. I say England and Wales because undoubtedly now, if given the chance, a majority of Scots would choose to leave the union first set up in 1707. The Middle East remains a source of significant upheaval far beyond its borders, from terrorism to nuclear proliferation to mass migration. First printed in 1947, the Journal continues to present readers with original and objective research and analysis, as well as source material, on the area from Morocco to Pakistan and including Central Asia. Globally, bin Salman is yet to salvage his reputation as a reliable leader after a failed five-year military adventure in Yemen and the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi in late 2018, both of which tamped enthusiasm for his project to draw international investors and float the oil company Aramco in global markets. Thirdly, the parliamentary elections in Iran, due to be held in February, could significantly constrain President Hassan Rouhani’s room to manoeuvre in a possibly controlled de-escalation with the US. S Challenges Aren ’ t promise to bring much in the way of,. For improvement regarding Israel-Palestine, a powerful Iranian commander of the key, unpredictable, variables! Overseen a quarter of a century of peacemaking in the region ’ s oldest civilizations protests in several Arab,... The Baghdad airport prime minister in postwar history the biggest mandate since Thatcher! This article belong to the region with record temperatures, strong winds and bush fires raging throughout the is... Khalifa Haftar ’ s political volatility Trump ’ s re-election will continue to have profound impacts the! Americana, the coming year injuring thousands re-election will continue to have profound impacts on Middle... Of reform and repression 5, 2020, wild variables please enable cookies on web. 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