russian strategy in the middle east
The 2015 Russian military intervention in Syria was a pivotal moment for Moscow’s Middle East policy. About Vance Serchuk September 12, 2019 10:32 AM. Ilan Berman is Senior Vice President of the American Foreign Policy Council in Washington, DC and a member of the Associated Faculty at Missouri State University’s Department of Defense and Strategic Studies. Change, as one Russian workshop … Russia's multifaceted diplomatic relations and recent interventionist trend are likely to be superseded by longer-term economic, energy, and arms deals. It was proposed to exchange views on the situation in Syria, Libya and Yemen.”. Russia’s strategy in the Middle East is to stay closer to all other players in the region than they are to one another. With change sweeping across the region, Russia will be unable to formulate a meaningful, lasting strategy in the foreseeable future, he added. Then Big Tech went after it and now its CEO has gone into hiding, With 23 deaths and countless “sick” people, the Pfizer Vaccine is turning out to be a disaster, India completely nails WhatsApp over its privacy policies, WhatsApp could lose its biggest market, Microsoft and Oracle have stayed away from the Big Tech political mess and that is going to give them an unprecedented advantage, Donald Trump has given some very clear instructions to Joe Biden and if he doesn’t play by his rules, things are going to get messy, Team Biden has suddenly gone soft on Donald Trump and his supporters, the reason is fear, It seems Bernie Sanders will be guiding Biden’s economic policy and it’s going to be 5 blocks left of Karl Marx, “5G and China Challenge” clauses have been removed from US State Dept. While Russia does have a long-term strategy in the Middle East, it is freighted with significant restraints and constraints. Firstly, Russian interests in these two conflict zones themselves militate directly against Turkish interference. Russian airpower saved the Assad regime from certain defeat. The involvement in Libya is an extension of the MENA (Middle East and North Africa) policy, as presented in a strategy paper on Russian foreign policy in the autumn of 2016. Russia's strategy could limit US influence in Europe and Turkey, which perhaps explains the change in Washington's tone in Libya, and the effort to deploy troops in Tunisia. Russia has goals, but to Western observers they appear to be either transactional or, in the longer term, generalizable to the point that they constitute broad precepts rather than global, regional, or state-specific strategies. Soundcloud. Absent deeper commitments, Russia is beholden to other actors, dynamics and events to create windows of opportunity. Russia’s 2015 intervention in Syria, which caught many by surprise, seemingly heralded Moscow’s triumphant return to the Middle East. She said that when Russia started intervening in Syria, it was like a shock and awe campaign. Hence Russia interprets its Middle East strategy as autonomous from the Sunni-Shite clash and absolutely non-ideological – and this is exactly the Westerners’ mistake – while the Middle East is obviously central to Russian security, but equally irrelevant to the security of NATO which, however, has de facto lost Turkey. Ilan Berman. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2017. https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE236.html. Rather than always being on the defensive, the United States should work harder at creating first impressions. Russia’s Waning Influence. Sladden, James, Becca Wasser, Ben Connable, and Sarah Grand-Clement, Russian Strategy in the Middle East. Share on Facebook; Share on Twitter; Share on … This widespread narrative originated, in particular, in the Syrian crisis and the Russian military intervention in the country. Russia's Strategy in the Middle East Russia's Strategy in the Middle East . Russia’s 2015 intervention in Syria, which caught many by surprise, seemingly heralded Moscow’s triumphant return to the Middle East. The Limits of Russian Strategy in the Middle East by Ben Connable and Becca Wasser Becca Wasser is a policy analyst at the nonprofit, nonpartisan RAND Corporation, where her primary research areas include wargaming, international security, and US defence and foreign policy in the Middle East. Funding for this venture was provided by philanthropic contributions from RAND supporters and income from operations. Sunday, September 10, 2017 at … Russia’s Middle East Power Play By Vance Serchuk. President Vladimir Putin has made clear his desire to restore Russia to great-power status and … Despite tensions at the beginning of the Syrian conflicts, Russia has maintained excellent relations with Turkey, the Second Armed Force of NATO and the strategic key to the link between the Middle East and the Mediterranean. https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/03/16/the-middle-east-needs-a-steady-boyfriend Russia has goals, but to Western observers they appear to be either transactional or, in the longer term, generalizable to the point that they constitute broad precepts rather than global, regional, or state-specific strategies. Russia is likely to remain an important actor in the Middle East for the foreseeable future. Russia may not have a clear ends-driven regional strategy; it constantly seeks to improve its short-term economic, military, and political advantages while reducing the short-term advantages of prospective adversaries. https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/mec/2018/05/01/russias-strategy-in-the-middle-east The decision to increase Russia’s presence in the Middle East was also determined by economic drivers. There’s an intense debate raging within the Alternative and Independent media over whether Russia’s contemporary Mideast strategy amounts to “balancing” or “betraying” the Resistance given the Eurasian Great Power’s extremely close military cooperation with “Israel” in Syria. Historically, Russia’s main contacts in the Middle East used to be Turkey and Iran. To some in the United States, Russia may look like a declining power. As president, Barack Obama launched … Russia has been playing a more active role in the Middle East in the last five years, and before committing to strategic cooperation with Russia, it is helpful to judge Russia’s objectives and strategies in the region. Largely absent from the Middle East for the better part of the previous two decades, Russia intervened to save Bashar al-Assad’s regime and reasserted itself as a major player in the region’s power politics. Russia, trying to restore its great power status, accrues influence in the Middle East. Cyprus, for instance, coordinates with Moscow to pressurise a belligerent Ankara. Just as Russia seeks to engage in the Middle East for its own benefit, these states also seek to use Russia to their advantage. Russia seeks to be able to effectively influence and shape outcomes, but a lack of means limits what it can achieve. The Russian Federation has already won the war in Syria and is, therefore, the hegemonic power throughout the Middle East. As of late 2016, this lack of focus on Russian activity in the broader Middle East had left the important question of Moscow's regional strategy and longer-term intent all but unaddressed. This website uses cookies. “Russia has managed to create the perception in the Middle East that it is more powerful, more capable and more relevant than the United States,” he said. Russian Strategy in the Middle East. Moscow is bringing together friends and foes to a common objective- combating Erdoğan’s belligerent Turkey. Russia’s Middle East Power Play By Vance Serchuk. This perception is at least partly accurate. Is making a concerted effort to reclaim its role as the arms supplier of for! Belligerent Turkey its producers ’ presence in the Syrian crisis and the US at. 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